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Transmission Dynamics and Spatial Spread of Infectious Diseases: Modelling, Prediction and Control

Project Type: 
Past

Assembled at the height of the SARS outbreak in 2003, this project develops a variety of modeling templates designed to fit different types of disease dynamics and management.

Project Leader(s): 

Dr. Jianhong Wu , York University

Assembled at the height of the SARS outbreak in 2003, this project develops a variety of modeling templates. These templates are designed to fit different types of disease dynamics and management, including: real-time modeling, simulation and prediction of communicable diseases such as SARS; evaluation of the effectiveness of different intervention strategies; modeling the impact of a pandemic, such as influenza, to reveal the preparedness of public health policy; and the study of vector-borne diseases such as West Nile virus using the predictive power of mathematical modeling and its integration into a national surveillance system. In the past year, the team completed several projects with provincial and federal ministries and agencies, and launched new projects in collaboration with other NCE centers and the Public Health Agency of Canada. Projects include the development of a decision support system based on a geographical simulation of disease spread and the spread pattern of influenza and sexually transmitted and blood borne diseases. The team also coordinated a successful summer school series on disease modeling and an international collaborative project, the Canada-China Thematic Program on Disease Modeling.

Project Website: 
Project team: 
Dr. Julien Arino, McMaster University
Dr. Jacques Bélair, Université de Montréal
Dr. Fred Brauer, University of British Columbia
Dr. Troy Day, Queen's University
Dr. Julien Arino, University of Manitoba
Dr. Jacques Beir, Universite de Montreal
Dr. Fred Bauer, University of British Columbia
Dr. Troy Day, Queen’s University
Dr. Michael Li, University of Alberta
Dr. Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University
Dr. David N. Fishman, Ontario Public Health Laboratories
Dr. Jane Heffernan, York University
Dr. Kamran Khan, University of Toronto
Dr. Neal Madras, York University
Dr. Seyed M. Mogadas, University of Winnipeg
Dr. Shigui Ruan, Dalhousie University
Dr. Beni M. Sahai, Cadham Provincial Laboratory
Dr. Robert Smith, University of Ottawa
Dr. Lin Wang, University of New Brunswick
Dr. James Watmough, University of New Brunswick
Dr. Glenn Webb, Vanderbilt University
Dr. Hauiping Zhu, York University
Dr. Pauline van den Driessche, University of Victoria
Funding period: 
April 1, 2021 - March 31, 2021